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Joe Pinkos’ 2018 Week 11 Game Forecast


joepinkosgameforecastJoe Pinkos’ Power Ratings are calculated by a formula based on strength of opposition and margin of victory with greater weight given to recent games. The forecasted margin of victory for each game is determined by subtracting the power rating of the lower-rated team from the power rating of its higher-rated opponent.

Game forecasts are sorted by classification of favorite and listed alphabetically. The underdog’s classification is noted for inter-classification games.

Class 8A
Alonso 3 over (6A) King
Apopka 22 over Oak Ridge
Atlantic (Delray Beach) 21 over Wellington
Belen Jesuit 3 over (4A) Monsignor Pace
Braddock 18 over (7A) Sunset
Centennial 35 over (5A) Port St. Lucie
Colonial 7 over Evans
Coral Gables 27 over Southwest Miami
Coral Springs 9 over South Plantation
DeLand 42 over (6A) Seabreeze
Everglades 4 over (7A) West Broward
Gateway 6 over (4A) Mount Dora
George Jenkins 29 over (Ind.) Poinciana
Haines City 28 over (4A) Tenoroc
Hialeah 42 over (7A) Goleman
Hialeah Gardens 14 over (7A) Mourning
Homestead 31 over Ferguson
Jupiter 1 over (7A) South Fork
Lake Worth 2 over (6A) Boynton Beach
Lyman 34 over Miami Beach
Mandarin 4 over (7A) Fletcher
Miami Palmetto 52 over Coral Reef
Monarch 10 over (Ind.) Coral Glades
North Miami 8 over Killian
North Miami Beach 1 over Miami High
Olympia 3 over (7A) Windermere
Osceola (Kissimmee) 14 over Lake Brantley
Oviedo 29 over (7A) Lake Howell
Palm Beach Central 44 over John I. Leonard
Palm Harbor University 24 over (5A) Dunedin
Park Vista 14 over Palm Beach Gardens
Plantation 15 over Douglas
Riverview (Sarasota) 24 over (7A) Sarasota
Sandalwood 31 over (7A) Atlantic Coast
Santaluces 7 over (7A) Olympic Heights
Seminole (Sanford) 1 over (5A) Bishop Moore
Seminole Ridge 29 over (7A) Royal Palm Beach
South Dade 21 over (4A) Edison
Southridge 52 over Dr. Krop
Spruce Creek 17 over (6A) New Smyrna Beach
Taravella 11 over Cypress Bay
University (Orlando) 31 over Cypress Creek (Orlando)
Vero Beach 41 over (6A) Sebastian River
Wekiva 44 over (7A) Lake Nona
West Orange 30 over (7A) Ocoee
Western 24 over (7A) Cooper City
Winter Park 10 over Lake Mary

Class 7A
Bartram Trail 28 over (6A) Nease
Bloomingdale 19 over (5A) Robinson
Braden River 24 over St. Petersburg
Buchholz 22 over (4A) Santa Fe
Chiles 16 over (6A) Deltona
Columbia 28 over (5A) Bolles
Countryside 1 over (6A) Northeast (St. Petersburg)
East Bay 19 over (6A) Blake
East River 8 over (8A) Freedom (Orlando)
Edgewater 23 over (8A) Boone
First Coast 33 over (2A) FAMU DRS
Fleming Island 14 over (5A) Orange Park
Forest Hill 52 over (8A) Spanish River
Fort Lauderdale 14 (5A) Stranahan
Hagerty 17 over (8A) Timber Creek
Lake Minneola 18 over (6A) Leesburg
Liberty 50 over (6A) Lake Region
Nova 46 over (Ind.) Pembroke Pines Charter
Palm Beach Lakes 49 over (5A) Suncoast
Pinellas Park 28 over (6A) Dixie Hollins
Plant 24 over (8A) Newsome
Reagan 25 over (8A) Varela
Riverdale 18 (6A) Lehigh
Robert E. Lee 27 over (6A) Ed White
Seminole 6 over (6A) Osceola (Seminole)
South Miami 27 (8A) Coral Park
St. Cloud 28 over (Ind.) Discovery
St. Thomas Aquinas 24 over (8A) Miramar
Tampa Bay Tech 9 over Gaither
Venice 11 over (8A) Manatee
Viera 16 over (6A) Heritage
Winter Haven 1 over (8A) Ridge Community
Wiregrass Ranch 16 over (6A) Auburndale

Class 6A
Armwood 35 over (7A) Durant
Barron Collier 7 over (5A) Hardee
Bayside 10 over (Ind.) West Oaks Academy
Carol City 47 over (8A) American
Chamberlain 48 over (7A) Strawberry Crest
Charlotte 7 over (7A) Palmetto
Choctawhatchee 32 over (5A) Bay
Clearwater 14 over (7A) East Lake
Dillard 27 over (7A) Ely
Eau Gallie 21 over (7A) Melbourne
Englewood 3 over (4A) Wolfson
Escambia 9 over (5A) Pensacola
Forest 24 over (5A) Belleview
Fort Myers 7 over (5A) Dunbar
Gainesville 17 over (5A) Eastside
Golden Gate 7 (7A) Gulf Coast
Gulf Breeze 37 over (4A) Gadsden County
Hialeah-Miami Lakes 7 over (7A) Miami Springs
Hillsborough 24 over (7A) Lennard
Island Coast 28 over East Lee County
Jensen Beach 1 over (7A) Martin County
Lake Wales 56 over (7A) Bartow
Lake Weir 1 over (5A) Citrus
Land O’ Lakes 20 over (5A) Fivay
Largo 17 over (5A) Lakewood
Mitchell 31 over (5A) Tarpon Springs
Naples 27 over (8A) Piper
Navarre 17 over Niceville
Norland 25 over (7A) Mater Academy
North Fort Myers 28 over (7A) South Fort Myers
Northeast (Oakland Park) 24 over (5A) Pompano Beach
Northwestern 10 over (5A) Miami Jackson
Pace 18 over (3A) Pensacola Catholic
Pine Forest 26 over Milton
Port Charlotte 17 over (5A) Southeast
Sebring 14 over (5A) Merritt Island
South Lake 1 over (7A) East Ridge
Tate 12 over Elba AL
Thompson AL 14 over Crestview
Vanguard 18 over (7A) Oakleaf

Class 5A
Anclote 9 over (4A) Cypress Creek (Wesley Chapel)
Baker County 8 over (4A) Dunnellon
Bayshore 28 over (4A) Mulberry
Bishop Kenny 10 over (3A) Episcopal
Cardinal Gibbons 13 over (7A) McArthur
Clay 7 over (2A) University Christian
Clewiston 28 over (6A) Okeechobee
Coconut Creek 8 over (6A) Boyd Anderson
Cypress Lake 24 over (6A) Estero
DeSoto 40 over (7A) Lakewood Ranch
Eustis 40 over (4A) Umatilla
Godby 1 over (7A) Lincoln
Hallandale 29 over (7A) Hollywood Hills
Jesuit 20 over (3A) Tampa Catholic
Jones 37 over (8A) Evans (Tuesday)
Lely 10 over (6A) Palmetto Ridge
Lemon Bay 5 over (7A) North Port
Mariner 1 over (6A) Cape Coral
Menendez 14 over (6A) Matanzas
Middleton 25 over (6A) Brandon
Mosley 9 over (7A) Leon
Nature Coast Tech 61 over Lecanto (Monday)
Nature Coast Tech 30 over (Ind.) IMG Academy
North Marion 35 over (8A) Winter Springs
Palatka 1 over (6A) St. Augustine
Palm Bay 1 over (8A) Treasure Coast
Ponte Vedra 20 over (7A) Creekside
River Ridge 23 over (6A) Sunlake
Rockledge 7 over (4A) Cocoa
Space Coast 14 over (3A) Trinity Prep
Spoto 30 over (7A) Leto
Stanton College Prep 10 over (4A) Andrew Jackson
Suwannee 3 over (3A) Taylor County
Tavares 15 over Lecanto
Wakulla 45 over (1A) Jefferson County
Weeki Wachee 35 over Gulf
West Florida Tech 35 over (6A) Washington (Pensacola)
Westside 9 over (3A) Providence
Yulee 29 over (4A) Fernandina Beach
Zephyrhills 40 over (6A) Pasco

Class 4A
Coral Springs Charter 34 over (3A) Westminster Academy
Astronaut 42 over (5A) Titusville
Avon Park 1 over Lake Placid
Bradford 28 over (6A) Middleburg
Glades Central 14 over (1A) Pahokee
Gulliver Prep 16 over (Ind.) John Carroll Catholic
Key West 17 over (6A) Archbishop McCarthy
Keystone Heights 20 over (3A) Taylor (Pierson)
Marianna 15 over Rutherford
Pine Crest 13 over (3A) St. Andrew’s
PK Yonge 51 over Interlachen
Raines 27 over (5A) Ribault
University School 7 over (3A) Chaminade-Madonna

Class 3A
American Heritage (Delray Beach) 21 over Everglades Prep
Baldwin 3 over (4A) West Nassau (Monday)
Baldwin 35 over (5A) Paxon
Calvary Christian (Clearwater) 27 over (4A) Lake Highland Prep
Calvary Christian (Fort Lauderdale) 13 over (2A) Miami Christian
Cardinal Mooney 1 over (5A) Booker
Cardinal Newman 23 over (7A) West Boca Raton
Father Lopez 4 over (4A) Atlantic (Port Orange)
Florida High 27 over (5A) Arnold
Fort White 20 over (5A) Terry Parker
Holy Trinity Episcopal 38 over (2A) Trinity Christian (Deltona)
Melbourne Central Catholic 10 over (8A) Fort Pierce Central
Somerset Silver Palms 12 over (2A) Community School of Naples
St. Petersburg Catholic 29 over (5A) Hudson
The First Academy 7 over (4A) The Villages
Westminster Christian 3 over Palmer Trinity

Class 2A
Carrollwood Day 1 over Foundation Academy
Champagnat Catholic 4 over (5A) Westwood
Eagle’s View Academy 14 over Merritt Island Christian
Evangelical Christian 34 over Keswick Christian
FAMU DRS 14 over (1A) Wewahitchka
Glades Day 47 over (3A) St. John Paul II Academy
Maclay 63 over Pataula Charter GA
Moore Haven 4 over (4A) LaBelle
Oak Hall 25 over Rocky Bayou Christian
Seffner Christian 37 over Northside Christian
St. Francis Catholic 18 over St. John Paul II Catholic
St. John Neumann 38 over Southwest Florida Christian
Victory Christian 31 over Kingdom Prep
Zephyrhills Christian 1 over Admiral Farragut

Class 1A
Baker 34 over Graceville
Bell 44 over (2A) Warner Christian
Blountstown 8 over Vernon
Bozeman 27 over (4A) North Bay Haven
Branford 36 over (2A) Cornerstone Charter
Chiefland 8 over Williston
Chipley 1 over Holmes County
Crescent City 17 over (3A) Newberry
Fort Meade 6 over Frostproof
Franklin County 19 over (2A) Munroe Day
Hamilton County 15 over (4A) Trenton
Hawthorne 77 over Bronson
Hilliard 19 over (2A) North Florida Educational Institute
Jay 17 over (Ind.) Lighthouse Private Christian
Madison County 37 over (5A) Rickards
Northview 14 over Freeport
Port St. Joe 3 over (2A) North Florida Christian
Sneads 50 over Liberty County

Boca Christian Christian 14 over Coral Shores
Clearwater Academy International 15 over (3A) Lakeland Christian
IMG Academy 17 over Hoover AL
Jordan Christian Prep 39 over Joshua Christian Academy
Ransom Everglades 1 over Somerset Canyons
Satellite 41 over Cocoa Beach
Superior Collegiate 34 over Tohopekaliga
West Park Prep 17 over Tampa Bay Christian

North Florida Football Conference (NFFC) Championship Game
St. Joseph Academy 1 over Aucilla Christian

Sunshine State Athletic Conference (SSAC) Playoffs
Coral League Semifinals
Mount Dora Christian 14 over Out-of-Door Academy
St. Stephen’s Episcopal 32 over Shorecrest Prep
Coastal League Semifinals
Orlando Christian Prep 29 over Christ’s Church Academy
Windermere Prep 4 over The Master’s Academy
More SSAC Football…
All Saints Academy 21 over Seven Rivers Christian
Bishop McLaughlin 1 over Ocala Christian
Bishop Snyder 14 over Bayshore Christian
Bradenton Christian 14 over Lake Mary Prep
Central Florida Christian 12 over Santa Fe Catholic
Legacy 3 over Canterbury (Fort Myers)

Forecast Record
Last Week 228-30, 88.4%
Month of October 838-135, 86.1%
Season 2,085-399, 83.9%

2017 Forecast Record
State Championship Games 7-1, 87.5%
Pre-playoffs forecast correctly selected 6 of the 8 eventual state champions.
FHSAA State Playoffs 152-32, 82.6%
Entire season 2,216-477, 82.3%

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