Joe Pinkos’ 2018 State Semifinals Playoff Forecast

joepinkosgameforecastThe following match-ups and results were forecast for the 2018 Florida Football Finals before the postseason began:

Class 1A– Madison County over Baker
Class 2A– University Christian over Admiral Farragut
Class 3A– Chaminade-Madonna over King’s Academy
Class 4A– Raines over University School
Class 5A– Rockledge over Trinity Christian (Jacksonville)
Class 6A– Carol City over Vanguard
Class 7A– St. Thomas Aquinas over Lakeland
Class 8A– Wekiva over Deerfield Beach

2018 PLAYOFFS FORECAST-Week 4

Joe Pinkos’ Power Ratings are calculated by a formula based on strength of opposition and margin of victory with greater weight given to recent games. The forecasted margin of victory for each game is determined by subtracting the power rating of the lower-rated team from the power rating of its higher-rated opponent.

CLASS 8A (State Semifinals)
North
Mandarin 12 over Riverview (Sarasota)

South
Columbus 3 over Deerfield Beach

CLASS 7A (State Semifinals)
North
Edgewater 7 over Lakeland

South
St. Thomas Aquinas 11 over Venice

CLASS 6A (State Semifinals)
North
Armwood 4 over Crestview

South
Northwestern 4 over Naples

CLASS 5A (State Semifinals)
North
Trinity Christian (Jacksonville) 25 over North Marion

South
Cardinal Gibbons 14 over Jesuit

CLASS 4A (State Semifinals)
North
Raines 13 over Dunnellon

South
University School 10 over Cocoa

CLASS 3A (State Semifinals)
North
King’s Academy 3 over Florida High

South
Chaminade-Madonna 10 over Clearwater Central Catholic

CLASS 2A (State Semifinals)
North
North Florida Christian 1 over Victory Christian

South
Admiral Farragut 14 over Champagnat Catholic

CLASS 1A (State Semifinals)
North
Baker 3 over Port St. Joe

South
Madison County 14 over Hawthorne

Forecast Record
FHSAA Playoffs 152-40, 79.2%
Last Ten Weeks 1,600-270, 85.6%
Entire Season 2,430-478, 83.6%